Nico Sturm vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sturm wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 59.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 65.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 91.2%
Neutral zone
Sturm 87.1%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 81.6%
81.6%
18.4%
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
3
0
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
60.6% (708)
51.0% (408)
+9.6%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
0.0% (6)
+61.1%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (101)
35.9% (78)
+20.5%
On power play, Sturm has a +61.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Sturm shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
61.6% (451)
50.8% (258)
Away
58.2% (376)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Sturm
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
55.9%
51.6%
P2
58.9%
45.2%
P3
64.6%
47.6%
OT
70.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 16:45 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 16:35 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 01:56 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |