Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 52.5% vs Carrick 49.5% (+3.6%)
Offensive zone
Carrick 61.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 51.8%
Neutral zone
Sturm 50.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Sturm
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (480)
48.9% (352)
+5.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
81.3% (16)
-52.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (102)
42.2% (45)
+7.8%
On power play, Carrick has a +52.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Sturm shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Sturm
Carrick
Home
54.0% (287)
46.9% (192)
Away
52.0% (302)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Sturm
Carrick
P1
53.5%
48.1%
P2
51.0%
50.0%
P3
55.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%