Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 64.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 57.1% vs Carrick 53.7% (+4.6%)
Offensive zone
Carrick 51.3%
Defensive zone
Carrick 60.3%
Neutral zone
Carrick 54.8%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Sturm
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
62.1% (356)
53.8% (654)
+8.3%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
0.0% (2)
+75.0%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (62)
63.9% (36)
-25.2%
On power play, Sturm has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Sturm is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Sturm shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Sturm
Carrick
Home
61.8% (191)
50.0% (328)
Away
56.3% (231)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Sturm
Carrick
P1
58.0%
56.7%
P2
57.9%
51.1%
P3
60.6%
54.8%
Final 5 min
58.3%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%