Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 54.1% vs Lafferty 50.0% (+5.4%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 72.3%
Defensive zone
Sturm 75.6%
Neutral zone
Sturm 52.0%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Sturm
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (233)
50.0% (22)
+4.1%
On even strength, Sturm has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Sturm is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Sturm shoots left. Lafferty is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Sturm
Lafferty
Home
54.4% (149)
33.3% (15)
Away
56.3% (158)
85.7% (7)
By Period
Sturm
Lafferty
P1
57.1%
50.0%
P2
55.0%
66.7%
P3
53.7%
33.3%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
55.4%
Lafferty
48.0%▼
50.0%
50.0%