Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Sturm wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 56.2% vs Lafferty 47.5% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Sturm
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Sturm
Lafferty
Last 10: Sturm 8-2 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
5
1
Sturm
Lafferty
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sturm
Lafferty
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
3
1
Sturm
Lafferty
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,681)
47.9% (1,393)
+9.2%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
45.7% (46)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (482)
43.5% (184)
+8.2%
On power play, Sturm has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Sturm is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,066).
Sturm shoots left. Lafferty is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,234).
Home / Away
Sturm
Lafferty
Home
57.3% (1,595)
47.0% (825)
Away
55.5% (1,630)
47.6% (798)
By Period
Sturm
Lafferty
P1
56.4%
49.3%
P2
55.1%
43.1%
P3
57.6%
49.6%
OT
60.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
56.4%
Lafferty
48.0%▼
50.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:26 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 16:47 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 16:12 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 05:41 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 14:01 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 04:00 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |