Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 55.2% vs Lafferty 50.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 53.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 53.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 63.1%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Sturm
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Sturm
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (716)
52.2% (366)
+3.9%
Power Play
67.7% (31)
60.0% (15)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
46.2% (104)
+4.9%
On power play, Sturm has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Sturm shoots left. Lafferty is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Sturm
Lafferty
Home
55.6% (412)
53.1% (258)
Away
56.0% (468)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Sturm
Lafferty
P1
59.6%
52.5%
P2
52.0%
49.7%
P3
55.5%
51.3%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |