Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 53.6% vs Lafferty 50.7% (+2.2%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 72.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 77.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.6%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Sturm
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (271)
52.4% (42)
+2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Sturm is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Sturm shoots left. Lafferty is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Sturm
Lafferty
Home
53.0% (168)
47.8% (23)
Away
56.0% (193)
57.9% (19)
By Period
Sturm
Lafferty
P1
58.2%
53.3%
P2
53.2%
55.6%
P3
52.3%
47.1%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.4%