Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 52.5% vs Lafferty 43.5% (+11.9%)
Offensive zone
Sturm 52.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 57.6%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 52.3%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Sturm
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (480)
40.9% (232)
+13.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
100.0% (1)
-71.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (102)
40.0% (30)
+10.0%
On power play, Lafferty has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Sturm shoots left. Lafferty is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Sturm
Lafferty
Home
54.0% (287)
38.2% (123)
Away
52.0% (302)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Sturm
Lafferty
P1
53.5%
41.6%
P2
51.0%
36.7%
P3
55.1%
45.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
41.1%