Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 54.1% vs Reinhart 43.4% (+16.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 79.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 72.4%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 53.4%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 79.6%
20.4%
79.6%
Sturm
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Sturm
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Sturm
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (233)
38.9% (72)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
59.5% (74)
42.9% (21)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Sturm is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Sturm shoots left. Reinhart is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Sturm
Reinhart
Home
54.4% (149)
34.7% (75)
Away
56.3% (158)
43.3% (60)
By Period
Sturm
Reinhart
P1
57.1%
43.9%
P2
55.0%
32.6%
P3
53.7%
39.6%
Final 5 min
55.8%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
55.4%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
38.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |