Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 53.6% vs Reinhart 42.9% (+16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 80.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 71.8%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 55.3%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 80.8%
19.2%
80.8%
Sturm
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Sturm
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Sturm
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (271)
39.0% (77)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (90)
40.9% (22)
+13.5%
On even strength, Sturm has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Sturm is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Sturm shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Sturm
Reinhart
Home
53.0% (168)
35.7% (84)
Away
56.0% (193)
41.3% (63)
By Period
Sturm
Reinhart
P1
58.2%
42.6%
P2
53.2%
34.7%
P3
52.3%
37.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |