Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sturm wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 55.2% vs Reinhart 50.5% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 52.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 86.8%
Neutral zone
Sturm 71.7%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 86.8%
86.8%
13.2%
Sturm
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Sturm
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
3
1
Sturm
Reinhart
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (716)
49.4% (259)
+6.7%
Power Play
67.7% (31)
54.4% (136)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
47.9% (71)
+3.2%
On power play, Sturm has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Sturm shoots left. Reinhart is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Sturm
Reinhart
Home
55.6% (412)
54.9% (235)
Away
56.0% (468)
46.3% (231)
By Period
Sturm
Reinhart
P1
59.6%
52.3%
P2
52.0%
50.0%
P3
55.5%
50.0%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.8%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 17:19 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |