Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 64.3% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 57.1% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+17.6%)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 58.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 58.1%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 52.7%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Sturm
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
62.1% (356)
44.1% (324)
+18.0%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
40.3% (72)
+34.7%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (62)
33.9% (118)
+4.8%
On power play, Sturm has a +34.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Sturm is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Sturm shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Sturm
Reinhart
Home
61.8% (191)
40.5% (232)
Away
56.3% (231)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Sturm
Reinhart
P1
58.0%
46.4%
P2
57.9%
32.6%
P3
60.6%
45.4%
Final 5 min
58.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%