Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 52.5% vs Reinhart 48.8% (+4.5%)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 78.3%
Defensive zone
Sturm 76.9%
Neutral zone
Sturm 52.2%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Sturm
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (480)
48.0% (275)
+6.0%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
48.1% (52)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (102)
53.1% (32)
-3.1%
On power play, Reinhart has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Sturm shoots left. Reinhart is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Sturm
Reinhart
Home
54.0% (287)
49.8% (201)
Away
52.0% (302)
46.8% (158)
By Period
Sturm
Reinhart
P1
53.5%
54.8%
P2
51.0%
40.5%
P3
55.1%
50.0%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
48.5%