Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Sturm wins 67.8% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 59.0% vs Reinhart 45.1% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 85.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 95.1%
Neutral zone
Sturm 93.0%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 93.7%
93.7%
6.3%
Sturm
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Sturm
Reinhart
Last 7: Sturm 6-1 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
5
1
Sturm
Reinhart
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
60.6% (708)
44.6% (345)
+16.0%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
43.3% (97)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (101)
43.2% (88)
+13.2%
On power play, Sturm has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Sturm is 67.8% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Sturm shoots left. Reinhart is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Sturm
Reinhart
Home
61.6% (451)
47.9% (267)
Away
58.2% (376)
40.3% (263)
By Period
Sturm
Reinhart
P1
55.9%
45.6%
P2
58.9%
42.0%
P3
64.6%
45.4%
OT
70.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 10:54 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 14:00 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |