Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 52.5% vs Kuraly 49.5% (+3.6%)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 57.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 56.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Sturm
Kuraly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (480)
52.3% (982)
+1.7%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
41.9% (43)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (102)
39.2% (245)
+10.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Sturm shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Sturm
Kuraly
Home
54.0% (287)
50.3% (680)
Away
52.0% (302)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Sturm
Kuraly
P1
53.5%
49.5%
P2
51.0%
49.6%
P3
55.1%
49.0%
OT
20.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%