Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 55.2% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 74.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 52.1%
Neutral zone
Sturm 57.6%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Sturm
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Sturm
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (716)
49.2% (901)
+6.9%
Power Play
67.7% (31)
68.2% (22)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
49.8% (219)
+1.3%
On even strength, Sturm has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Sturm shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Sturm
Kuraly
Home
55.6% (412)
51.7% (603)
Away
56.0% (468)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Sturm
Kuraly
P1
59.6%
50.9%
P2
52.0%
49.5%
P3
55.5%
49.1%
OT
60.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:49 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |