Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 53.6% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 52.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 50.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 53.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Sturm
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Sturm
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Sturm
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (271)
51.8% (444)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (90)
45.3% (150)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Sturm shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Sturm
Kuraly
Home
53.0% (168)
54.6% (304)
Away
56.0% (193)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Sturm
Kuraly
P1
58.2%
55.2%
P2
53.2%
45.7%
P3
52.3%
49.5%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |