Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 59.0% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 59.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 50.1%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 54.1%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Sturm
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Sturm
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Sturm
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
60.6% (708)
49.4% (445)
+11.2%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
100.0% (3)
-38.9%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (101)
41.9% (117)
+14.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Sturm shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Sturm
Kuraly
Home
61.6% (451)
49.2% (248)
Away
58.2% (376)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Sturm
Kuraly
P1
55.9%
48.3%
P2
58.9%
44.7%
P3
64.6%
51.7%
Final 5 min
59.5%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |