Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 52.5% vs Trocheck 54.3% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 57.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 75.2%
Neutral zone
Sturm 68.6%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Sturm
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Sturm
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Sturm
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Sturm
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (480)
54.3% (955)
-0.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
64.6% (96)
-36.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (102)
51.0% (194)
-1.0%
On power play, Trocheck has a +36.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Sturm shoots left. Trocheck is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (904).
Home / Away
Sturm
Trocheck
Home
54.0% (287)
58.3% (604)
Away
52.0% (302)
51.2% (641)
By Period
Sturm
Trocheck
P1
53.5%
53.9%
P2
51.0%
55.7%
P3
55.1%
54.3%
OT
20.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 10:48 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 10:48 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |