Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Sturm wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 56.1% vs Trocheck 54.2% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 78.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 71.5%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 51.7%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Sturm
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Sturm
Trocheck
Last 10: Sturm 7-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Sturm
Trocheck
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
8
0
Sturm
Trocheck
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
4
Sturm
Trocheck
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,719)
53.7% (10,904)
+3.4%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
60.8% (1,856)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (498)
49.6% (1,461)
+1.4%
On even strength, Sturm has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Sturm is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,093).
Sturm shoots left. Trocheck is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,884).
Home / Away
Sturm
Trocheck
Home
57.1% (1,614)
56.3% (7,114)
Away
55.4% (1,665)
52.2% (7,107)
By Period
Sturm
Trocheck
P1
56.5%
54.1%
P2
54.9%
54.7%
P3
57.4%
54.0%
OT
60.6%
52.1%
Final 5 min
56.9%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 11:25 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 03:06 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 15:02 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 08:55 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:59 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 10:48 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 10:48 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |