Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.8% vs 59.3%). Sturm wins 64.3% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 57.1% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 88.5%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 51.6%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 56.5%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Sturm
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Sturm
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
0
Sturm
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
62.1% (356)
59.6% (1,032)
+2.5%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
62.1% (253)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (62)
55.4% (249)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Sturm is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Sturm shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
Sturm
Trocheck
Home
61.8% (191)
61.7% (786)
Away
56.3% (231)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Sturm
Trocheck
P1
58.0%
61.7%
P2
57.9%
58.8%
P3
60.6%
57.6%
Final 5 min
58.3%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%