Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lizotte wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs Roy 46.0% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 66.8%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 83.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 55.8%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Lizotte
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Lizotte
Roy
Last 10: Lizotte 5-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
4
1
Lizotte
Roy
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lizotte
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
2
Lizotte
Roy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (316)
41.5% (275)
+11.7%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
81.8% (11)
-43.3%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (25)
61.3% (31)
-33.3%
On power play, Roy has a +43.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Lizotte is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Lizotte shoots left. Roy is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Roy
Home
46.9% (177)
46.1% (167)
Away
54.8% (177)
43.3% (150)
By Period
Lizotte
Roy
P1
42.3%
46.7%
P2
51.8%
38.5%
P3
60.9%
50.5%
Final 5 min
57.6%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 08:28 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 06:01 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 01:58 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |