Scouting Report
Reilly Smith holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.9% vs Smith 50.0% (-1.2%)
Offensive zone
Roy 54.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 66.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 59.5%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Roy
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
33.3% (3)
+16.2%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
100.0% (1)
-49.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (110)
50.0% (4)
-7.3%
On power play, Smith has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Roy shoots right. Smith is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (3).
Home / Away
Roy
Smith
Home
47.7% (491)
50.0% (2)
Away
50.0% (440)
50.0% (6)
By Period
Roy
Smith
P1
51.1%
50.0%
P2
44.6%
100.0%
P3
50.9%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Smith
30.0%▼
35.0%
50.0%