Scouting Report
Reilly Smith holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.3% vs Smith 50.5% (-9.1%)
Offensive zone
Smith 62.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 76.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 59.9%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Roy
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (633)
50.0% (4)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (87)
66.7% (3)
-23.0%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Roy
Smith
Home
50.8% (376)
0.0% (2)
Away
45.4% (392)
80.0% (5)
By Period
Roy
Smith
P1
53.8%
33.3%
P2
43.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Smith
30.0%▼
35.0%
57.1%