Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.9% vs Smith 48.6% (+11.3%)
Offensive zone
Smith 56.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 76.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 56.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Roy
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (679)
33.3% (9)
+15.3%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
100.0% (1)
-52.0%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (49)
0.0% (1)
+34.7%
On power play, Smith has a +52.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Roy shoots right. Smith is 100.0% vs right-shot opponents (2).
Home / Away
Roy
Smith
Home
49.3% (345)
100.0% (1)
Away
46.4% (433)
30.0% (10)
By Period
Roy
Smith
P1
47.6%
33.3%
P2
47.1%
0.0%
P3
47.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Smith
30.0%▼
35.0%
36.4%