Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +20.5% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.2% vs Smith 46.2% (+20.5%)
Offensive zone
Smith 64.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 77.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.5%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Roy
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (617)
27.8% (18)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (97)
0.0% (1)
+46.4%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Roy shoots right. Smith is 25.0% vs right-shot opponents (8).
Home / Away
Roy
Smith
Home
47.2% (398)
28.6% (14)
Away
46.3% (369)
20.0% (5)
By Period
Roy
Smith
P1
48.6%
11.1%
P2
48.8%
37.5%
P3
43.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Smith
30.0%▼
35.0%
26.3%