Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.9% vs Donato 47.1% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 57.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 80.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 56.9%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Roy
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Roy
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
30.4% (23)
+19.1%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
53.3% (15)
-2.6%
On even strength, Roy has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Roy shoots right. Donato is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (13).
Home / Away
Roy
Donato
Home
47.7% (491)
47.1% (17)
Away
50.0% (440)
33.3% (21)
By Period
Roy
Donato
P1
51.1%
33.3%
P2
44.6%
28.6%
P3
50.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.7%
30.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |