Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.3% vs Donato 45.3% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 65.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 82.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 59.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Roy
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Roy
Donato
Last 5: Roy 3-2 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
2
Roy
Donato
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
0
Roy
Donato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (633)
42.9% (140)
+5.4%
Power Play
52.1% (48)
28.6% (7)
+23.5%
On power play, Roy has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Roy shoots right. Donato is 32.7% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Roy
Donato
Home
50.8% (376)
44.6% (83)
Away
45.4% (392)
39.1% (64)
By Period
Roy
Donato
P1
53.8%
53.2%
P2
43.5%
33.3%
P3
46.4%
41.3%
Final 5 min
47.2%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |