Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 51.9% vs Donato 48.1% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 73.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 74.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.0%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Roy
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Roy
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Roy
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (547)
48.1% (258)
+3.8%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
43.2% (37)
+10.9%
On power play, Roy has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Roy shoots right. Donato is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Roy
Donato
Home
54.0% (328)
45.8% (142)
Away
50.6% (348)
49.0% (153)
By Period
Roy
Donato
P1
53.5%
48.1%
P2
51.6%
46.6%
P3
51.6%
46.8%
Final 5 min
48.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |