Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.2% vs Donato 46.0% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 60.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 83.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 57.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Roy
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Roy
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (617)
44.4% (180)
+3.1%
Power Play
39.6% (53)
43.2% (37)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (97)
40.0% (5)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Roy shoots right. Donato is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Roy
Donato
Home
47.2% (398)
45.4% (97)
Away
46.3% (369)
43.2% (125)
By Period
Roy
Donato
P1
48.6%
36.2%
P2
48.8%
48.6%
P3
43.9%
46.9%
Final 5 min
45.1%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:13 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |