Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Roy wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.4% vs Donato 44.9% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 72.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 84.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 62.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Roy
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Roy
Donato
Last 10: Roy 4-6 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
6
Roy
Donato
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
5
1
Roy
Donato
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
3
1
Roy
Donato
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,719)
44.2% (1,179)
+4.5%
Power Play
49.5% (283)
46.3% (246)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (477)
36.4% (11)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Roy shoots right. Donato is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Roy
Donato
Home
49.5% (2,221)
47.2% (743)
Away
47.3% (2,258)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Roy
Donato
P1
50.8%
43.4%
P2
46.3%
45.1%
P3
48.1%
44.4%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:11 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 04:02 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:13 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |