Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.9% vs Hartman 45.3% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 65.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 67.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Roy
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Roy
Hartman
Last 6: Roy 3-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
Roy
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
44.8% (936)
+4.7%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
49.4% (154)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (110)
33.3% (54)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Roy is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Roy shoots right. Hartman is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Roy
Hartman
Home
47.7% (491)
47.4% (568)
Away
50.0% (440)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Roy
Hartman
P1
51.1%
47.2%
P2
44.6%
43.4%
P3
50.9%
43.8%
OT
42.9%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:06 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 05:46 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 17:15 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |