Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.9% vs Lafferty 43.5% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 86.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 55.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 52.1%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Roy
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Roy
Lafferty
Last 5: Roy 4-1 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
0
Roy
Lafferty
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
40.9% (232)
+8.6%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
100.0% (1)
-49.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (110)
40.0% (30)
+2.7%
On power play, Lafferty has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Roy is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Roy shoots right. Lafferty is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Roy
Lafferty
Home
47.7% (491)
38.2% (123)
Away
50.0% (440)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Roy
Lafferty
P1
51.1%
41.6%
P2
44.6%
36.7%
P3
50.9%
45.5%
Final 5 min
51.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
41.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 17:39 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |