Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.4%). Roy wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 51.9% vs Lafferty 50.7% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 66.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 73.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 52.7%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Roy
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (547)
52.4% (42)
-0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Roy shoots right. Lafferty is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Roy
Lafferty
Home
54.0% (328)
47.8% (23)
Away
50.6% (348)
57.9% (19)
By Period
Roy
Lafferty
P1
53.5%
53.3%
P2
51.6%
55.6%
P3
51.6%
47.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.4%