Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.2% vs Lafferty 43.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 70.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 63.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.0%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Roy
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Roy
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
2
Roy
Lafferty
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (617)
42.6% (324)
+4.9%
Power Play
39.6% (53)
31.3% (16)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (97)
43.8% (16)
+2.6%
On power play, Roy has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Roy is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Roy shoots right. Lafferty is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Roy
Lafferty
Home
47.2% (398)
40.9% (181)
Away
46.3% (369)
43.4% (175)
By Period
Roy
Lafferty
P1
48.6%
42.2%
P2
48.8%
36.4%
P3
43.9%
48.6%
Final 5 min
45.1%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 18:14 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |