Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.4%). Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.9% vs Kuraly 49.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 84.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 53.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 66.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Roy
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Roy
Kuraly
Last 9: Roy 2-7 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
5
Roy
Kuraly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Roy
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
52.3% (982)
-2.8%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
41.9% (43)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (110)
39.2% (245)
+3.5%
On power play, Roy has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Roy shoots right. Kuraly is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
Roy
Kuraly
Home
47.7% (491)
50.3% (680)
Away
50.0% (440)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Roy
Kuraly
P1
51.1%
49.5%
P2
44.6%
49.6%
P3
50.9%
49.0%
OT
42.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.7%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 03:54 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |