Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.2% vs Kuraly 48.4% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 62.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 51.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 53.8%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Roy
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Roy
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Roy
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (617)
49.4% (445)
-1.9%
Power Play
39.6% (53)
100.0% (3)
-60.4%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (97)
41.9% (117)
+4.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +60.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Roy shoots right. Kuraly is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Roy
Kuraly
Home
47.2% (398)
49.2% (248)
Away
46.3% (369)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Roy
Kuraly
P1
48.6%
48.3%
P2
48.8%
44.7%
P3
43.9%
51.7%
Final 5 min
45.1%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |