Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings). Roy wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.4% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 20-9 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 91.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 68.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 73.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Roy
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
20
(29 meetings)
9
20
Roy
Kuraly
Last 10: Roy 3-7 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Roy
Kuraly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
4
11
Roy
Kuraly
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
6
Roy
Kuraly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,719)
51.5% (5,141)
-2.8%
Power Play
49.5% (283)
56.0% (100)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (477)
44.2% (1,086)
+1.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Roy shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
Roy
Kuraly
Home
49.5% (2,221)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
47.3% (2,258)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Roy
Kuraly
P1
50.8%
51.1%
P2
46.3%
49.9%
P3
48.1%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
47.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 07:24 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:36 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:17 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 03:54 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |