Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.9% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 70.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 59.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 65.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Roy
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Roy
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Roy
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (679)
55.3% (515)
-6.7%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
55.6% (9)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (49)
44.8% (58)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Roy shoots right. Kuraly is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Roy
Kuraly
Home
49.3% (345)
57.3% (293)
Away
46.4% (433)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Roy
Kuraly
P1
47.6%
53.8%
P2
47.1%
51.5%
P3
47.9%
57.6%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:36 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:17 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |