Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 51.9% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 57.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 51.1%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.7%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Roy
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Roy
Kuraly
Last 7: Roy 3-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Roy
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (547)
51.8% (444)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (92)
45.3% (150)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Roy shoots right. Kuraly is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Roy
Kuraly
Home
54.0% (328)
54.6% (304)
Away
50.6% (348)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Roy
Kuraly
P1
53.5%
55.2%
P2
51.6%
45.7%
P3
51.6%
49.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 07:24 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |