Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.3% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 73.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 65.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Roy
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Roy
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Roy
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (633)
49.2% (901)
-0.9%
Power Play
52.1% (48)
68.2% (22)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (87)
49.8% (219)
-6.1%
On power play, Kuraly has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Roy shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Roy
Kuraly
Home
50.8% (376)
51.7% (603)
Away
45.4% (392)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Roy
Kuraly
P1
53.8%
50.9%
P2
43.5%
49.5%
P3
46.4%
49.1%
OT
75.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |