Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.8% vs Monahan 52.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 66.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 72.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 60.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Roy
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Roy
Monahan
Last 5: Roy 2-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Roy
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Roy
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (176)
52.1% (858)
-1.5%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
55.9% (177)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
11.1% (9)
33.3% (9)
-22.2%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Roy is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Roy shoots right. Monahan is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Roy
Monahan
Home
50.0% (88)
52.6% (504)
Away
46.7% (105)
52.6% (540)
By Period
Roy
Monahan
P1
57.7%
56.7%
P2
46.6%
52.1%
P3
39.1%
48.1%
Final 5 min
46.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 16:32 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |