Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.3% vs Monahan 53.9% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 64.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 79.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 54.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Roy
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Roy
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Roy
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (633)
54.5% (231)
-6.2%
Power Play
52.1% (48)
58.2% (67)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (87)
52.2% (23)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Roy shoots right. Monahan is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Roy
Monahan
Home
50.8% (376)
53.5% (144)
Away
45.4% (392)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Roy
Monahan
P1
53.8%
52.5%
P2
43.5%
50.9%
P3
46.4%
60.8%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |