Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.9% vs Monahan 52.8% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 84.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 51.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 67.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 76.0%
24.0%
76.0%
Roy
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Roy
Monahan
Last 8: Roy 5-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
3
1
Roy
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
51.5% (641)
-2.0%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
62.8% (129)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (110)
33.3% (9)
+9.4%
On power play, Monahan has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Roy shoots right. Monahan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Roy
Monahan
Home
47.7% (491)
53.9% (362)
Away
50.0% (440)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Roy
Monahan
P1
51.1%
48.0%
P2
44.6%
57.0%
P3
50.9%
54.1%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 07:35 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 01:53 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 01:49 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |