Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.9% vs Monahan 52.4% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
Monahan 55.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 68.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Roy
Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (679)
52.4% (853)
-3.8%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
58.6% (174)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (49)
46.5% (144)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Roy shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Roy
Monahan
Home
49.3% (345)
53.4% (624)
Away
46.4% (433)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Roy
Monahan
P1
47.6%
53.7%
P2
47.1%
52.4%
P3
47.9%
51.6%
OT
75.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%