Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.8% vs Acciari 49.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 66.9%
Defensive zone
Acciari 63.7%
Neutral zone
Acciari 52.2%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Nelson
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Nelson
Acciari
Last 7: Nelson 0-7 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Nelson
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Nelson
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
5
Nelson
Acciari
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,020)
49.9% (337)
-2.5%
Power Play
51.5% (163)
75.0% (4)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (63)
46.8% (62)
-3.9%
On power play, Acciari has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Nelson is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (425).
Nelson shoots left. Acciari is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Nelson
Acciari
Home
51.0% (641)
49.1% (167)
Away
44.1% (605)
50.0% (236)
By Period
Nelson
Acciari
P1
48.2%
52.4%
P2
48.1%
51.1%
P3
46.9%
45.6%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.7%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 14:01 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 04:49 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 02:32 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 03:15 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |