Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 49.4%). Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zacha wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 50.1% vs Carrick 49.5% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 71.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 68.2%
Neutral zone
Zacha 55.0%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Zacha
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Zacha
Carrick
Last 6: Zacha 1-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
3
Zacha
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Zacha
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (296)
48.9% (352)
-0.9%
Power Play
61.0% (59)
81.3% (16)
-20.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
42.2% (45)
+7.8%
On power play, Carrick has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Zacha is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Zacha shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Zacha
Carrick
Home
48.9% (223)
46.9% (192)
Away
51.9% (154)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Zacha
Carrick
P1
47.9%
48.1%
P2
48.3%
50.0%
P3
54.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 02:44 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:02 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |