Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 46.5% vs Carrick 49.5% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 74.3%
Defensive zone
Carrick 89.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 65.8%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Zacha
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zacha
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (247)
49.2% (307)
-3.9%
Power Play
58.1% (31)
66.7% (6)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (18)
48.2% (56)
-26.0%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Zacha shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Zacha
Carrick
Home
39.7% (131)
50.3% (175)
Away
49.7% (165)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Zacha
Carrick
P1
42.9%
41.0%
P2
46.4%
51.2%
P3
42.3%
55.3%
Final 5 min
38.9%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |