Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.7% vs Carrick 53.8% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 50.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 73.3%
Neutral zone
Carrick 65.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Zacha
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Zacha
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
0
Zacha
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (646)
55.1% (439)
-1.8%
Power Play
53.0% (100)
66.7% (3)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (72)
49.1% (53)
-10.2%
On power play, Carrick has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Zacha is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Zacha shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Zacha
Carrick
Home
51.7% (410)
58.2% (225)
Away
52.2% (408)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Zacha
Carrick
P1
57.7%
56.7%
P2
48.9%
52.8%
P3
50.2%
54.4%
Final 5 min
48.4%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 08:52 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |