Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 52.8% vs Carrick 53.7% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 85.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 69.9%
Neutral zone
Zacha 52.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Zacha
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zacha
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Zacha
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (534)
53.8% (654)
+0.3%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
0.0% (2)
+56.0%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (96)
63.9% (36)
-19.1%
On power play, Zacha has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Zacha is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Zacha shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Zacha
Carrick
Home
53.4% (406)
50.0% (328)
Away
52.9% (333)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Zacha
Carrick
P1
56.8%
56.7%
P2
53.6%
51.1%
P3
49.2%
54.8%
Final 5 min
49.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |